{"id":299,"date":"2025-12-31T18:43:00","date_gmt":"2025-12-31T18:43:00","guid":{"rendered":"https:\/\/bicc1968.com\/?p=299"},"modified":"2026-04-04T18:49:51","modified_gmt":"2026-04-04T18:49:51","slug":"2025-in-review","status":"publish","type":"post","link":"https:\/\/bicc1968.com\/?p=299","title":{"rendered":"2025 in Review"},"content":{"rendered":"\t\t<div data-elementor-type=\"wp-post\" data-elementor-id=\"299\" class=\"elementor elementor-299\" data-elementor-post-type=\"post\">\n\t\t\t\t<div class=\"elementor-element elementor-element-50a008b e-flex e-con-boxed e-con e-parent\" data-id=\"50a008b\" data-element_type=\"container\" data-e-type=\"container\">\n\t\t\t\t\t<div class=\"e-con-inner\">\n\t\t\t\t<div class=\"elementor-element elementor-element-fd212f4 elementor-widget elementor-widget-text-editor\" data-id=\"fd212f4\" data-element_type=\"widget\" data-e-type=\"widget\" data-widget_type=\"text-editor.default\">\n\t\t\t\t<div class=\"elementor-widget-container\">\n\t\t\t\t\t\t\t\t\t<p><span style=\"color: #000000;\">\u201cIf you\u2019ve got a dollar and you spend 29 cents on a loaf of bread, you\u2019ve got 71 cents left, but if you\u2019ve got seventeen grand and you spend 29 cents on a loaf of bread, you\u2019ve still got seventeen grand. There\u2019s a math lesson for you.\u201d \u2013 Steve Martin<\/span><\/p><p><span style=\"color: #000000;\">Steve Martin\u2019s 70\u2019s era quip about the price of bread and wealth wasn\u2019t far off the mark as a loaf of bread now fetches $3.99 and \u201cseventeen grand\u201d is now about ninety \u2013 one thousand dollars.<\/span><\/p><p><span style=\"color: #000000;\">2025 began with \u201cDOGE\u201d, tariff disruptions, the continuation of the war in Ukraine, the AI boom and the magnificent seven\u2019s dominance in the S&amp;P 500 Index. The yield curve began the year flat with the 10-year US treasury note at 4.57% and money market rates around 4.32%.<\/span><\/p><p><span style=\"color: #000000;\">After 12 months of fiscal uncertainty, three successive Fed Funds rate cuts, the longest government shut down in US history and a massive shift towards neo-mercantilism the US dollar is worth 10% less, the yield curve has steepened, European and Asian stock markets trounced the S&amp;P 500 and gold and silver prices had their best year since Ronald Reagan was president. Oil, real estate and crypto currencies were not as fortunate.<\/span><\/p>\t\t\t\t\t\t\t\t<\/div>\n\t\t\t\t<\/div>\n\t\t\t\t\t<\/div>\n\t\t\t\t<\/div>\n\t\t<div class=\"elementor-element elementor-element-096c847 e-flex e-con-boxed e-con e-parent\" data-id=\"096c847\" data-element_type=\"container\" data-e-type=\"container\">\n\t\t\t\t\t<div class=\"e-con-inner\">\n\t\t\t\t<div class=\"elementor-element elementor-element-3fac3a9 elementor-widget elementor-widget-image\" data-id=\"3fac3a9\" data-element_type=\"widget\" data-e-type=\"widget\" data-widget_type=\"image.default\">\n\t\t\t\t<div class=\"elementor-widget-container\">\n\t\t\t\t\t\t\t\t\t\t\t\t\t\t\t<img fetchpriority=\"high\" decoding=\"async\" width=\"814\" height=\"709\" src=\"https:\/\/bicc1968.com\/wp-content\/uploads\/2026\/01\/2025_2026.jpg\" class=\"attachment-large size-large wp-image-245\" alt=\"Comic\" srcset=\"https:\/\/bicc1968.com\/wp-content\/uploads\/2026\/01\/2025_2026.jpg 814w, https:\/\/bicc1968.com\/wp-content\/uploads\/2026\/01\/2025_2026-300x261.jpg 300w, https:\/\/bicc1968.com\/wp-content\/uploads\/2026\/01\/2025_2026-768x669.jpg 768w\" sizes=\"(max-width: 814px) 100vw, 814px\" \/>\t\t\t\t\t\t\t\t\t\t\t\t\t\t\t<\/div>\n\t\t\t\t<\/div>\n\t\t\t\t\t<\/div>\n\t\t\t\t<\/div>\n\t\t<div class=\"elementor-element elementor-element-4c40709 e-flex e-con-boxed e-con e-parent\" data-id=\"4c40709\" data-element_type=\"container\" data-e-type=\"container\">\n\t\t\t\t\t<div class=\"e-con-inner\">\n\t\t\t\t<div class=\"elementor-element elementor-element-36ec585 elementor-widget elementor-widget-text-editor\" data-id=\"36ec585\" data-element_type=\"widget\" data-e-type=\"widget\" data-widget_type=\"text-editor.default\">\n\t\t\t\t<div class=\"elementor-widget-container\">\n\t\t\t\t\t\t\t\t\t<p><strong><span style=\"color: #000000;\">2026 What\u2019s Next?<\/span><\/strong><\/p><p><span style=\"color: #000000;\">The US budget deficit will continue to expand, the yield curve will remain steep, oil prices will remain depressed and the dollar will remain weak. The continued US policy shift from globalism towards a multi-polar world muddled by erratic tariff policies will continue to challenge capital allocation decisions throughout the industrialized world.<\/span><\/p><p><span style=\"color: #000000;\">Peace between Ukraine, Russia, its people and their entrenched soldiers will hopefully begin before the snow-covered Donbas begins to thaw. Greenland will become more than a talking point.<\/span><\/p><p><span style=\"color: #000000;\">Massive spending on data centers for the AI boom will continue but doubts about a return on investment will dominate market conversation.<\/span><\/p><p><span style=\"color: #000000;\">The common denominator of booms is that they eventually result in a bust but not without leaving behind major contributions. Long after the last gasp and bust of the rail road boom of the late 19th century, the personal computer technology boom of the 1980\u2019s, the dot com boom and the communications boom of the late 1990\u2019s significant assets and infrastructure survived which allowed free markets to grow and adapt. For instance, after the railroad boom went bust, the American rail network continued to grow regional economies. After the tech bubble burst companies such as Microsoft, Apple and IBM continued to adapt and grow. And after the last mile of fiber optic cable was laid, Amazon, Google, Netflix and Meta continued their expansion.<\/span><\/p><p><span style=\"color: #000000;\">A subtle difference to note regarding the current AI boom is that although AI data centers require tremendous amounts of capital to build along with an entire city\u2019s amount of electricity and water to operate they do not need a city of people to run or maintain. And unlike railroads, fiberoptic networks and wireless networks where infrastructure can last for decades, the chips that comprise more than two thirds of a data centers cost to build only last 3-5 years before heat degradation renders them useless.<\/span><\/p><p><span style=\"color: #000000;\">Like Cisco Systems meteoric rise from demand for its routers during the dot com boom, Nvidia has found itself the primary beneficiary of the current boom.<\/span><\/p><p><span style=\"color: #000000;\">Looking for long term beneficiaries of the AI boom will take time. We must remember that Amazon did not begin its meteoric rise for years following the first book shipped from it\u2019s cramped Seattle office.<\/span><\/p><p><span style=\"color: #000000;\">Intermediate to long term rates will remain higher than recent years and the US dollar will continue to remain weak. Our fixed income target allocations are 30% T-Bills and one year CD\u2019s, 50% intermediate term US Treasury notes and 20% extended duration US Treasuries.<\/span><\/p><p><span style=\"color: #000000;\">Bankers Investment Counseling will continue to seek out companies which allocate their capital productively and which command strong pricing power for their goods and services. We expect our selected companies to find ways to benefit from AI.<\/span><\/p><p><span style=\"color: #000000;\">Gold and silver prices will continue to remain strong but may experience a pause in the uptrend early in 2026 for some well-deserved profit taking. A wise man once said, \u201cI never went broke taking a profit\u201d.<\/span><\/p>\t\t\t\t\t\t\t\t<\/div>\n\t\t\t\t<\/div>\n\t\t\t\t\t<\/div>\n\t\t\t\t<\/div>\n\t\t\t\t<\/div>\n\t\t","protected":false},"excerpt":{"rendered":"<p>\u201cIf you\u2019ve got a dollar and you spend 29 cents on a loaf of bread, you\u2019ve got 71 cents left, but if you\u2019ve got seventeen grand and you spend 29 cents on a loaf of bread, you\u2019ve still got seventeen grand. There\u2019s a math lesson for you.\u201d \u2013 Steve Martin Steve Martin\u2019s 70\u2019s era quip &#8230; <a title=\"2025 in Review\" class=\"read-more\" href=\"https:\/\/bicc1968.com\/?p=299\" aria-label=\"Read more about 2025 in Review\">Read more<\/a><\/p>\n","protected":false},"author":2,"featured_media":301,"comment_status":"open","ping_status":"open","sticky":false,"template":"","format":"standard","meta":{"footnotes":""},"categories":[7,5],"tags":[],"class_list":["post-299","post","type-post","status-publish","format-standard","has-post-thumbnail","hentry","category-2025-review","category-andy-killion"],"yoast_head":"<!-- This site is optimized with the Yoast SEO plugin v27.3 - https:\/\/yoast.com\/product\/yoast-seo-wordpress\/ -->\n<title>2025 in Review - Bankers Investment Counseling Company<\/title>\n<meta name=\"description\" content=\"2025 in Review: After 12 months of fiscal uncertainty, three successive Fed Funds rate cuts, the longest government shut down in US history the...\" \/>\n<meta name=\"robots\" content=\"index, follow, max-snippet:-1, max-image-preview:large, max-video-preview:-1\" \/>\n<link rel=\"canonical\" href=\"https:\/\/bicc1968.com\/?p=299\" \/>\n<meta property=\"og:locale\" content=\"en_US\" \/>\n<meta property=\"og:type\" content=\"article\" \/>\n<meta property=\"og:title\" content=\"2025 in Review - 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